May 2, 2023
US inflation primed to ‘turn and burn’

The United States economy has been on a rollercoaster ride in recent years, with the COVID-19 pandemic causing unprecedented disruptions to businesses and households alike. As the country slowly emerges from the pandemic, there are growing concerns about inflation and its potential impact on the economy.
Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices for goods and services is rising, and it is typically measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI). In recent months, the CPI has been rising at an alarming rate, with the latest data showing a 5.4% increase in June 2021 compared to the same period last year.
There are several factors driving this inflationary trend, including supply chain disruptions, labor shortages, and increased demand for goods and services as the economy reopens. The Federal Reserve has been closely monitoring these developments and has signaled that it may need to raise interest rates sooner than expected to keep inflation in check.
However, some experts believe that the inflationary pressures are likely to persist for some time, regardless of what the Fed does. They argue that the current situation is reminiscent of the 1970s, when the US experienced a prolonged period of high inflation known as the Great Inflation.
According to these experts, the US economy is primed to turn and burn, meaning that inflation could spiral out of control if the Fed does not take aggressive action to rein it in. They point to several factors that could exacerbate the inflationary pressures, including rising energy prices, a weaker US dollar, and increased government spending.
If inflation does continue to rise, it could have serious consequences for the US economy and for households across the country. Higher prices for goods and services would erode the purchasing power of consumers, making it more difficult for them to make ends meet. It could also lead to higher interest rates, which would make it more expensive for businesses and households to borrow money.
In conclusion, the US economy is facing a challenging period as it emerges from the COVID-19 pandemic. While there are reasons to be optimistic about the future, there are also growing concerns about inflation and its potential impact on the economy. The Federal Reserve will need to take decisive action to keep inflation in check, but it remains to be seen whether this will be enough to prevent a prolonged period of high inflation.